A year-end report and forecast from the Aerospace Industries
Association is upbeat on the prospects for the general aviation industry
in 2013 and beyond. "While the last few years have been a challenging
time for general aviation, including a major bankruptcy [Hawker Beechcraft] in this sector," says the report (PDF),
"the market is still much larger than it was a decade ago, and there
are few doubts that growth will resume as the world economy recovers."
Moderate growth is expected for 2013, according to the AIA analysis. The
five-year forecast shows that nearly 80 percent of those looking to
purchase GA aircraft between 2013 and 2017 will do so in the latter part
of that period, with larger business jets leading sales.
The bigger jets will comprise 40 percent of all GA deliveries
over the next 10 years, AIA said, with markets growing in Asia and the
Middle East. China could account for 20 percent of all global business
jet deliveries, up from today's 7 percent, by 2020, AIA said. Light and
medium business jets face a tougher market, and "remain an area of
concern." The key market drivers for the civil aircraft market in 2013,
the report concluded, will continue to be the price of fuel and the
health of the domestic and international economies.
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